Live Briefing - Beryl + A change in the pattern

 Link to recording:

Hi everyone, you can find a link to today's recorded briefing here:

https://arizona.zoom.us/rec/share/51g7GDm7lTPB_NqhmfCwPN4_NKAWOqRGD8Y6-L0YVtsle9q39rcZdfDspzL_Af8t.lLqXQ4L4z0gNnXAq

Slides:

Here are the slides from today although this is not inclusive of all of the figures/websites used today....



















Tomorrow

























Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

October 17th, 2024: Windy and Cooler with Chances of Mountain Snow and Valley Rain on Friday

Image
  Synopsis A mid level trough will dig southward across the Intermountain West today, and become anchored over Arizona as a closed low by tomorrow. This feature is expected to provide the state with cooler temperatures, windy conditions, and light precipitation chances. The majority of precipitation is forecast to occur over the higher terrain in Northern Arizona, but a brief period of showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible in Phoenix and Tucson tomorrow afternoon. Precipitation accumulations are forecast to be light with a trace to 0.10 inch in the lower deserts and between 0.25 and 0.50 inches over the higher terrain with locally higher amounts possible along the southwestern facing slopes of the Mogollon Rim and White Mountains due to orographic enhancement. Snow levels will remain mainly above 7000 feet with a dusting to 6 inches of accumulated snow possible with the highest amounts over the tallest peaks of the Rim and White Mountains.  Current Conditio...
Read more

March 6th, 2025: Cool, Breezy, and Wet Through Friday Evening

Image
Synopsis An upper level trough moving eastward into the Desert Southwest will bring cooler temperatures, gusty winds, and chances for precipitation across Arizona through Friday evening. Today will be breezy across the state, and precipitation chances will remain mainly confined to the higher terrain of Northern Arizona due to strong orographic enhancement. By late tonight into tomorrow morning, a vorticity maxima will generate widespread valley rain and mountain snow showers across the state. Rainfall amounts will range from a trace to 0.50 inch in the lower deserts and between 0.5 and 1.5 inches over the mountains, with highest amounts over the Mogollon Rim. Snow level will fall to around 4000 feet tomorrow morning with models forecasting a trace to 6 inches between 4000 and 6000 feet and between 6 and 12 inches above 6000 feet with locally higher amounts possible over the tallest peaks of Northern Arizona.  Over the weekend, high amplitude ridging rebuilds into th...
Read more

November 2nd, 2024: Valley Rain and Mountain Snow on Sunday

Image
  Synopsis A mid latitude trough is expected to continue to dig southeastward along the West Coast throughout the day today and eventually reach Arizona later tonight. This feature will allow 500mb heights to fall leading to much cooler temperatures as well as a chance for valley rain showers and mountain snow across mainly the eastern half of the state. In addition, UA WRF model soundings forecast a relatively shallow layer of instability (CAPE on the order of 100 to 300 J/kg) tomorrow across the region, so an isolated low-topped thunderstorm or two is possible. Rainfall amounts are expected to be light, with between a trace to 0.10 inches in the lower deserts, and between 0.25 and 0.50 inches over the higher terrain with highest amounts possible along the southwestern facing slopes of the Mogollon Rim and White Mountains. Snow levels will remain above 6000 feet with a trace to 6 inches expected with locally higher amounts possible over the tallest peaks.    Current Cond...
Read more